Carlos Alcaraz vs Rafael Nadal Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
C. Alcaraz vs R. Nadal

Carlos Alcaraz

ESP

1

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

C. Rank

173

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$39.9M

Career Money

$96.6M

Right-Handed

Plays

Left-Handed

Rafael Nadal

ESP

1

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

C. Rank

173

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$39.9M

Career Money

$96.6M

Right-Handed

Plays

Left-Handed

Head-to-head: Alcaraz 1 - 2 Nadal

They have played 8 sets in total, with Carlos Alcaraz winning 3 and Rafael Nadal winning 5. The last match between Carlos Alcaraz and Rafael Nadal was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 06-05-2022, Round: QF, Surface: Clay, with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-2 1-6 6-3.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Alcaraz	1
Nadal	2

Last 3 H2H Matches:

(QF) Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(05-06-22)

Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

Rafael Nadal

(SF) BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-19-22)

Stats

Rafael Nadal

Carlos Alcaraz

(R2) Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(05-05-21)

Stats

Rafael Nadal

Carlos Alcaraz

C. Alcaraz vs R. Nadal H2H Profile

C. Alcaraz	Stats	R. Nadal
$39,913,030	Career Prize Money	$96,585,210
80.90% (360-85)	Career Total W/L	82.16% (1124-244)
1	Clay	1
0	Hard	1
32	Titles	94
1	Total H2H Matches	2
88.75% (71-9)	YTD Win/Loss	0% (0-0)
8	YTD Titles	0

C. Alcaraz vs R. Nadal Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Carlos Alcaraz has won 47.27% of points on their second serve, while Rafael Nadal has won 0%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Carlos Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 42.22% of their opponent's second serve points, while Rafael Nadal has won 0%. The same stats for first serve returns are 22.26% and 0% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Carlos Alcaraz has saved 54.27% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Rafael Nadal has saved 0% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Carlos Alcaraz has won 88.75% of matches played (W/L 71/9), with Rafael Nadal winning 0% (W/L 0/0) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Carlos Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 90% (W/L 35/4), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 35/16). Rafael Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 511/59), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/39).
Player level: In the last year, Carlos Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 92.31% of matches (W/L 24/2), where as Rafael Nadal has played most of their matches on the N/A, winning 0% of matches (W/L 0/0). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Carlos Alcaraz winning 1 times and Rafael Nadal being victorious 2 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Carlos Alcaraz winning 3 and Rafael Nadal winning 5.
The last match between Carlos Alcaraz and Rafael Nadal was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 06-05-2022, Round: QF, Surface: Clay, with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-2 1-6 6-3.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:19:37.
Deciding set H2H prediction: Carlos Alcaraz and Rafael Nadal have played a deciding set 2 times, with Carlos Alcaraz winning 1 times and Rafael Nadal 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Carlos Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.77 while Rafael Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 0.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Carlos Alcaraz has won 80% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Rafael Nadal has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Carlos Alcaraz has converted 29.41% of breakpoint opportunities, and Rafael Nadal has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Rafael Nadal Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

C. Alcaraz vs R. Nadal H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

C. Alcaraz	Stats	R. Nadal
1	H2H Matches Won	2
3	Sets Won	5
29	Games Won	39
5	Aces (Total)	4
9	Total Double Faults	8
2:19:37	Average Match Time	2:19:37
60% (124/208)	1st Serve %	66% (150/227)
59% (73/124)	1st Serve Win %	64% (96/150)
45% (38/84)	2nd Serve Win %	52% (40/77)
45% (10/22)	Break Pts Won %	38% (14/37)
40% (91/227)	Return Points Win %	47% (97/208)
33% (1/3)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	67% (2/3)
50% (1/2)	Deciding Set Win %	50% (1/2)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (2/2)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

C. Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025
F Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner	L	7-6(4) 7-5	Stats
SF Felix Auger AliassimeF. Auger	W	6-2 6-4	Stats
Robin Lorenzo MusettiL. Musetti	W	6-4 6-1	Stats
Robin Taylor FritzT. Fritz	W	6-7(2) 7-5 6-3	Stats
Robin Alex De MinaurA. De	W	7-6(5) 6-2	Stats

View All

R. Nadal Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 - 18-11-2024
Rubber 1 Botic Van De ZandschulpB. Van	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
Olympics - Paris - 29-07-2024
R2 Novak DjokovicN. Djokovic	L	6-1 6-4	Stats
R1 Marton FucsovicsM. Fucsovics	W	6-1 4-6 6-4	Stats
Nordea Open - Bastad - 15-07-2024
F Nuno BorgesN. Borges	L	6-3 6-2	Stats
SF Duje AjdukovicD. Ajdukovic	W	4-6 6-3 6-4	Stats

View All

C. Alcaraz vs R. Nadal Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

C. Alcaraz	Stats	R. Nadal
80.90% (360/85)	YTD Win/Loss	82.16% (1124/244)
73.32% (849/309)	Sets Win/Loss	76.57% (2696/825)
57.54% (6389/4714)	Games Win/Loss	59.47% (19730/13449)
81.17% (125/29)	Hard Win/Loss	79.67% (439/112)
82.09% (165/36)	Clay Win/Loss	89.65% (511/59)
68.63% (35/16)	Indoor Hard W/L	64.90% (98/53)
89.74% (35/4)	Grass Win/Loss	79.17% (76/20)
0.3	Aces Per Game	0.24
1647	Aces Total	3839
0.19	Double Faults Per Game	0.12
1039	Total Double Faults	2000
1:57:10	Average Match Time	1:7:13
189.53	Average Opponent Rank	429.85
65% (21965/33578)	1st Serve %	68% (58555/86368)
71% (15498/21965)	1st Serve Win %	72% (42361/58544)
56% (6458/11613)	2nd Serve Win %	57% (15931/27857)
43% (1702/3988)	Break Points Won % (Total)	45% (4679/10428)
42% (15025/35655)	Return Points Win %	42% (38917/92075)
86.54% (90/14)	Slam W/L	87.71% (314/44)
78.18% (86/24)	Masters W/L	81.98% (414/91)
83.33% (10/2)	Cups W/L	87.50% (35/5)
81.03% (94/22)	Main Tour W/L	80.50% (289/70)
58.33% (7/5)	Tour Finals W/L	53.85% (21/18)
77.08% (37/11)	Challenger W/L	75.47% (40/13)
83.78% (31/6)	Futures W/L	0% (0/0)
79% (270/341)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	80% (775/968)
88% (87/99)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	88% (338/384)
64% (118/183)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	61% (276/452)
72% (93/130)	Deciding Set Win %	68% (199/291)
93% (328/305)	1st Set Won, Won Match	94% (1049/990)
7% (328/23)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	5% (1049/57)
46% (115/53)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	41% (319/132)